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Joe Guzzardi Why Obama touts deceptive jobless numbers

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Joe Guzzardi

Posted: Saturday, March 17, 2012 12:00 am | Updated: 6:48 am, Sat Mar 17, 2012.

With its typical fanfare, the White House announced earlier this week that the economy created 227,000 jobs in February. In what's best described as a campaign speech for his boss, White House economic adviser Alan Krueger hailed the news as evidence that the Obama administration's jobs strategy is successful.

A close analysis of February's jobs report exposes a less encouraging picture. The number of unemployed Americans and the unemployment rate remained unchanged from January at, respectively, 12.8 million and 8.3 percent.

As it always does, the Bureau of Labor Statistics relied on the payroll survey to reach its findings. Despite months of "robust job gains," about 5.4 million have been jobless for more than 27 weeks and 1.2 million have given up looking for work. Unemployment benefits have expired for some; others will end in 2012.

Unemployment's long-term effects are devastating. The longer prospective workers remain unemployed, the faster their skills erode and the harder it is for them to find a decent job. More than 40 percent of the total unemployed are categorized as "long-term." One contributing factor may be the extended unemployment benefits which some economists claim reduces the incentive to actively pursue work.

Another grim variable the White House ignores is that current job creation doesn't keep up with population growth. The further back you go, the less comforting the jobs-to-population growth ratio becomes. The nation needs 5.6 million jobs to return to 2008 levels.

According to statistics crunched by the Economic Policy Institute for CNN Money, California would have to create 1.8 million jobs to keep up with its growing populace. That represents nearly 12 percent more jobs than exist today. Despite its deep economic woes and huge budget deficit, California's working age population, fueled in large part by immigration, has increased by more than one million since the 2007 recession started. California's unemployment rate is 10.9 percent, the nation's second highest.

Another problem the administration gives short shrift to is the type of jobs created. According to statistician John Williams, 92 percent of the new February jobs are in low-wage service positions. For example, waiting on tables and tending bar accounted for 20 percent of the overall jobs increase, while 29 percent of the spike came in health care and social services. Driving a truck is one of the highest-paying new service jobs.

By extension, only about eight percent of new jobs could be considered professional, like engineering or computer-related employment. As good jobs disappear, the United States' income disparity grows greater and the nation becomes more deeply entrenched as a two-tier society — a handful of super-rich and millions of poor.

One crucial variable the administration refuses to acknowledge much less adjust is immigration, which fuels about 75 percent of the population growth. Legal immigrants — about 1 million a year — receive work permits. More legally authorized people increases the work force and reduces job opportunities for native-born Americans.

As I have repeatedly pointed out, the relationship between more immigration and fewer jobs is undeniable. Yet Capitol Hill is unwilling to help unemployed Americans by reducing immigration, something well within its power to do. As a result, the White House has to cook the employment books every month to create as favorable a picture of the economy as possible.

Joe Guzzardi retired from the Lodi Unified School District in 2008. He lives in Pittsburgh, PA. Contact him at guzzjoe@yahoo.com.

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  • Darrell Baumbach posted at 7:17 pm on Sun, Mar 25, 2012.

    Darrell Baumbach Posts: 9405

    Ms Bobin stated...See, - was it that painful, really?

    It was painful... yes Ms Bobin. To read your distorted view of reality is painful... it shows that we need to treat you with kindness and provide you with an education so you can see reality more clearly... you talk about Bush as if he had six years to focus on our economy... please remember that 9/11 event Ms Bobin... it took a direct hit on our economy and with the pressure democrats like Clinton, Kerry and Kennedy applied to encourage George Bush to go to war, it consumed his attention and focus.... Imagine... war hungrey democrats joining war hungry republicans to respond to USA being attacked. Yes... they all were focesed on war and getting the people who attacked us... that was until 2 years prior to the 2004 election when the democrats had to distance themselves from looking so war hungry and then changed their story on a dime and stated... war... we cannot do that... George Bush is a war criminal...

  • Joanne Bobin posted at 9:15 am on Sat, Mar 24, 2012.

    Joanne Bobin Posts: 4488

    See, - was it that painful, really?

  • Joe Baxter posted at 2:34 pm on Thu, Mar 22, 2012.

    Joe Baxter Posts: 1913

    BOBBIN, sounds like you are "squirming" trying to gloss over the FACTS. Reminds me of my son when he was little and I caught him "stretchiing the truth". His retort usually contained "yea, but - yea, but what about this or that" trying to direct my attention away from why he was in trouble. I am not saying BUSH, just like any other past President, isn't without blame on some bad decisions, but he certainly isn't solely responsible for the state of the American economy today. Your liberal pals, INCLUDING Obama, should certainly own up to their participation. Just because Bush isn't a publicity hound doesn't mean he is "hiding".

  • Joanne Bobin posted at 1:56 pm on Thu, Mar 22, 2012.

    Joanne Bobin Posts: 4488

    Mr. Baxter, you seem to want me to focus on 2007-2010. George W. Bush was in power from January 2001 to January 2009. If you think it took only 2008-2009 when Democrats controlled Congress to drive this country over the cliff, you are delusional.

    And it took me all of 5 seconds to figure out that 6 years of Bush was certainly long enough to eat up the surplus by giving it away in tax breaks, starting 2 wars (unfunded), and instituting a program that did not have any funding (Medicare Part D).

    Try as you might, you cannot just wish away Bush's first 6 years in power. And you think it takes only a year or two to drive an economy like the US over the cliff? Ask George W. Bush - if you can find his hiding place.

  • Joe Baxter posted at 11:55 am on Thu, Mar 22, 2012.

    Joe Baxter Posts: 1913

    BOBBIN, I love it when you "scramble" to rebut FACTS. Can't you find a LIBERAL site that denies any of the FACTS in my previous post? Here is some more FACTS for you to chew on:
    Democrats controlled the budget process for 2008 & 2009 as well as 2010 &2011.
    In that first year, they had to contend with George Bush, which caused them to compromise on spending, when Bush somewhat belatedly got tough on spending increases.
    For 2009 though, Nancy Pelosi & Harry Reid bypassed George Bush entirely, passing continuing resolutions to keep government running until Barack Obama could take office. At that time, they passed a massive omnibus spending bill to complete the 2009 budgets.
    And where was Barack Obama during this time? He was a member of that very Congress that passed all of these massive spending bills, and he signed the omnibus bill as President to complete 2009.
    If the Democrats inherited any deficit, it was the 2007 deficit, the last of the Republican budgets. That deficit was the lowest in five years, and the fourth straight decline in deficit spending. After that, Democrats in Congress took control of spending, and that includes Barack Obama, who voted for the budgets.
    If Obama inherited anything, he inherited it from himself. In a nutshell, what Obama is saying is I inherited a deficit that I voted for and then I voted to expand that deficit four-fold since January 20th but I don't want to "own" this mess I helped to create, so I will simply blame Bush because my doting LIBERAL followers will believe anything I say.
    Joanne, get them fingers flyin' on your keyboard to disprove this information, if you can.

  • Joanne Bobin posted at 9:53 am on Thu, Mar 22, 2012.

    Joanne Bobin Posts: 4488

    Bush tax cuts passed while Repubs were in power in Congress, including the reduction in capital gains tax that allows Mitt Romney to pay less than 10% on his million$ annual income.
    Iraq War approved overwhelmingly by Repubs v. Dems. (never put on the "books until Bush was out of power)
    Medicare Part D approved while Repubs were in power in Congress (unpaid for).
    Deregulation passed by Repub majority in Congress.

    Funny, the last, when Googled, came up with 8 or more articles from right-wingnut organizations (Heritage Foundation, American Ent. Inst., etc.) arguing passionately that Bush's deregulation had nothing to do with his driving the economy into a ditch. Gotta give 'em credit for trying hard to defend this poor soul who was never fit for office, let alone president, allowed himself to be manipulated by his handlers (Cheney, et.al), tried desperately to disassociate himself from them during his last term, and finally resigned himself to falling into obscurity after his presidency as no president in recent history has ever done.

    I feel sorry for Laura.

  • Joe Baxter posted at 9:39 am on Thu, Mar 22, 2012.

    Joe Baxter Posts: 1913

    BOBBIN, ''BUSH BLAMERS", et al, here are some FACTS that are undeniable.
    January 3rd, 2007 was the day the Democrats took over the Senate and the Congress. At the time:
    The DOW Jones closed at 12,621.77
    The GDP for the previous quarter was 3.5%
    The Unemployment rate was 4.6%
    George Bush's Economic policies SET A RECORD of 52 STRAIGHT MONTHS of JOB GROWTH.
    January 3rd, 2007 was the day that Barney Fwank took over the House Financial Services Committee and Chris Dodd took over the Senate Banking Committee.
    The economic meltdown that happened 15 months later was in what part of the economy?
    Why I do believe it was the BANKING AND FINANCIAL SERVICES!
    Bush asked Congress no less than 17 TIMES to stop Fannie & Freddie - starting in 2001 because it was financially risky for the US economy.
    And who took the THIRD highest pay-off from Fannie Mae AND Freddie Mac? Joanne's very own idol, BARRACK HUSSEIN OBAMA.
    Budgets DO NOT come from the White House. They come from Congress and the party that had total control of Congress from January 2007 until the 2011 mid term elections was the Democrat Party.
    But all the good little LIBERALS seem to have a form of tourettes and just can't help shouting "It's all Bush's fault".

  • Joe Baxter posted at 4:01 pm on Wed, Mar 21, 2012.

    Joe Baxter Posts: 1913

    BOBBIN, please explain just HOW Bush railroaded the economy when his hands were virtually tied by the Democratic Senate AND House? The only possible way is that the LIBERALS on Capitol Hill with a (D) after their name, INCLUDING your idol BHO, passed the legislations. Democratic collusion was the ONLY way possible, or are you going to deny that FACT and still blame Bush as the sole cause of the economic collapse?

  • Joe Baxter posted at 2:32 pm on Wed, Mar 21, 2012.

    Joe Baxter Posts: 1913

    BOBBIN posted, "I am sorry you are in such denial, Mr. Baxter. All roads lead to GW Bush whether you like it or not."
    What you really mean is that all of BHO's FINGERS point to GW Bush and you, as a good little liberal, believe it without question.
    You watch way too much Olberman, Maddow, Stewart, Maher and any other liberal stooge that fails to own up to the fact that your idol, Bury Sore-Toe, is the poorest excuse for a president in US history. Just like a little kid caught doing something wrong, he screams, "it's not my fault, it's Georgie's fault". How about some proof from a NON-LIBERAL, unbiased source, if you can find one.

  • Joanne Bobin posted at 9:19 am on Wed, Mar 21, 2012.

    Joanne Bobin Posts: 4488

    Ah, the good old boys - when they get together the amount of collective ignorance cannot be surpassed - except only by Mr. Baumbach's playground humor and the constant chant in his head...I'm rubber, your glue.......

    I am sorry you are in such denial, Mr. Baxter. All roads lead to GW Bush whether you like it or not. As for Mr. Chapman's inability to read and comprehend, sorry, something you should have learned in second grade.

  • Darrell Baumbach posted at 8:24 pm on Tue, Mar 20, 2012.

    Darrell Baumbach Posts: 9405

    Joe stated...My dog could have got a home loan from Freddie Mac at that time.

    Joe, I think you stumbled onto the real reason Ms Bobin distracts to George W.
    I think her dog actually did successfully apply for and qualify for a home loan that Barney Frank got for her.. By bringing attention to her actions you make her nervous...

  • Darrell Baumbach posted at 8:18 pm on Tue, Mar 20, 2012.

    Darrell Baumbach Posts: 9405

    Ms Bobin stated...Mr. Baumbach's playground barbs are only surpassed by the current crop of Kindergartener's who can, no doubt, come up with a much more humorous repartee. Just how old ARE you, anyway, Mr. Baumbach?

    I have to admit... When Ms Bobin is right...she's right. I undoubtedly am no match for anyone in the humor department... never have been. Yes, she accurately came to this conclusion by surrounding herself with age appropriate classmates she identified and surveyed their opinions of my humor. They confirmed what she thought all along. I think Ms Bobin's classmates have perfected playground barbs and should be commented for their achievement considering the grade level she claims to be at.
    More pink rabbits Ms Bobin?

  • Robert Chapman posted at 7:37 pm on Tue, Mar 20, 2012.

    Bob Chapman Posts: 997

    Joanne, I was expecting the link you provided to supply some profound proof of your contention that nobody could afford to drive on 1.89/gal gas because BUSH destroyed the economy. Nope. Nothing, and I read it all, even close. Honestly, you have to get better at finding obscure stuff to make your post claims legitimate. Good luck with that. Oh, and by the say, going online when I can is just fine with me. There are way too many sights to see, books to read and people to talk to that make my travels gratifying. Next stop, Roswell, New Mexico. Maybe I will see some of your relatives there?

  • Joe Baxter posted at 6:40 pm on Tue, Mar 20, 2012.

    Joe Baxter Posts: 1913

    HEY BOBBIN, your contention that Bush caused the economic woes are tiring. I am trying to recall just who was in charge of the House AND Senate during the last two years of Bush's tenure,,,,,Hmmm, lemme see now. Oh yea, now I recall, it was the DEMOCRATS. Legends like Barney Fwank and Maxine Waters stonewalled Bush's attempt to audit Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae who along with the sleezy hedge fund traders were mostly responsible for the economic collapse. My dog could have got a home loan from Freddie Mac at that time. But if your LIBERAL brain just won't let you realize the truth, then you are truly as brainwashed as you appear to be.

  • Joanne Bobin posted at 3:17 pm on Tue, Mar 20, 2012.

    Joanne Bobin Posts: 4488

    Mr. Baumbach's playground barbs are only surpassed by the current crop of Kindergartener's who can, no doubt, come up with a much more humorous repartee. Just how old ARE you, anyway, Mr. Baumbach? Your comments always seem to display your lack of reading comprehension. I can see why you are so opposed to any type of comedic ability since you lack the ability to "get the joke."

    Here you are Mr. Chapman - just one source - but as soon as you land in another RV park with Wifi you can check out some more. Maybe you should invest in Wifi service like Mr. Baumbach, so, instead of feeling stranded in the middle of nowhere, like some backwash in Thailand, you can still feel at home by telling fellow Lodians what idiots they are from any location.


  • Darrell Baumbach posted at 6:34 am on Tue, Mar 20, 2012.

    Darrell Baumbach Posts: 9405

    Robert, since Ms Bobin graduated with a BS degree from the Stewart School of Laughs, you are no match for her wit and knowledge... she posted at 8:46 am on Mon, Mar 19, 2012..." I don't think any "liberal idiots" are being fooled", who can argue with that... At least she described the nature of liberals like herself in an accurate light... no one fools Ms Bobin... no one.

  • Robert Chapman posted at 3:07 pm on Mon, Mar 19, 2012.

    Bob Chapman Posts: 997

    Funny statement from Joanne. My degree is in business and economics and I probably have forgotten more about economics than she every knew or will know. I do feel sorry for Joanne as her indoctrination into the liberal world most likely started at home and continued through our liberal schools. Still blamiing Bush, eh Joanne? Good little liberal, BHO would be proud. When is the current POTUS going to "own" the mess we are in? Blaming Bush is wearing thim with Americans. And I am sure you have some verifiable facts to back up your statement that there was no demand for gas because people couldn't afford to drive anywhere, even at $1.89 per gallon. Naw, didn't think you did. But, under our current White House Occupant people can magically afford to drive around at $4+/gal.? Just like BHO, you fabricate in an attempt to make your statements appear legitimate. Thanks for my laugh of the day.

  • Joanne Bobin posted at 8:46 am on Mon, Mar 19, 2012.

    Joanne Bobin Posts: 4488

    Good comments, Mr. Liebich. I doubt Mr. Chapman understands one bit of that though. To him the only evidence is the price at the pump on the day a person takes office and what it is today.

    FYI, Mr. Chapman, gas was $1.89 a gallon when Obama came into office because GW Bush had driven the economy into such a ditch that there was no demand for gas because people couldn't afford to drive anywhere, even at $1.89 per gallon.

    I don't think any "liberal idiots" are being fooled. It is the right-wingnuts like Mr. Chapman who do not understand economics, basic supply and demand, and the very complicated ins and outs of commodity trading as explained by Mr. Liebich that are harming this country with their ill-educated and downright ignorant commentary.

  • Andrew Liebich posted at 11:06 pm on Sun, Mar 18, 2012.

    Andrew Liebich Posts: 2999

    Oil is a COMMODITY, meaning that it really doesn’t matter where it is sold, it only matters how much of it is available to the global market. If China is willing to pay more, the price for oil everywhere on the planet goes up unless production increases to satisfy that increased demand. Which is to say that it doesn’t matter at ALL whether oil is imported or exported as far as the price is concerned.

    As an example, we don’t get ANY oil from Iran, and very little oil through the Strait of Hormuz. Europe and Asia get most of that oil. But if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked off, or if Iran halts production, the price of oil – which again is a COMMODITY – increases all over the world. Because oil doesn’t sell for one price in one place and another price in another place. Oil closed today at $107.37 a barrel all over the planet whether it is exported or imported.

  • Robert Chapman posted at 12:50 pm on Sun, Mar 18, 2012.

    Bob Chapman Posts: 997

    Obama inherited the $1.89/gal gas. He certainly can't take credit for that price. But, he has to take credit for the $4+/gallon we are paying now. Apparently he is fooling the LIBERAL idiots quite well.

  • Joanne Bobin posted at 8:36 am on Sun, Mar 18, 2012.

    Joanne Bobin Posts: 4488

    Mr. Chapman wrote; "All potential political candidates are required to take several courses in "Voodoo Math". An intense course enabling politicians to prove or disprove anything using numbers."

    So, Mr. Chapman, you are saying, by "ALL POTENTIAL CANDIDATES," that even the Republicans, i.e., Romney, Gingrich, and Santorum, are using Voodoo Math? I think this probably explains why Gingrich proclaims he can get us back to $2.50 per gallon gas (why not the $1.89 that gas was when Obama took office?) and why even Romney admits that the economy is improving (although his disclaimer is that it has improved despite all of the destructive measures Obama has taken).

    It also explains why none of the Republican candidates can explain WHY gas was $1.89 when Obama took office - or at least DO NOT want to explain why gas was so low. You're right - Voodoo Math can do wonders depending which idiots you are trying to fool.

  • Robert Chapman posted at 11:21 am on Sat, Mar 17, 2012.

    Bob Chapman Posts: 997

    OOPs, DowJones will SOAR, not sour. They will sour AFTER the election.

  • Robert Chapman posted at 11:20 am on Sat, Mar 17, 2012.

    Bob Chapman Posts: 997

    All potential political candidates are required to take several courses in "Voodoo Math". An intense course enabling politicians to prove or disprove anything using numbers. I suspect by the time November rolls around, Obama's minions will announce a ZERO percent unemployment, gas prices will fall to $1.50/gal, DowJones will sour to 15,000 and BHO can stick his mug on TV and brag about his "accomplishments". Watch out AFTER the election. Regardless of who becomes POTUS, the real statistics will come to light.


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