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Joe Guzzardi California’s troubles are deepened by overpopulation

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Joe Guzzardi

Posted: Saturday, January 14, 2012 12:00 am

A December Associated Press story described how California's overpopulation has inevitably led the state into societal breakdowns.

California, with nearly 39 million residents has one-eighth of the nation's population, but also one-third of its welfare recipients. More than 1.5 million Californians depend on monthly welfare grants. Accordingly, California's caseload far outnumbers the rest of the country, with 3.8 percent of the state's 2010 population receiving welfare benefits. As a result, California will spend $6 billion this fiscal year on its welfare programs, about 7 percent of its general fund budget that's unfortunately shrunk by $17.5 billion since 2008.

The story chronicled the hard times that millions of Californians have fallen upon since the Great Recession (the Great Depression, Part II?) began nearly five years ago. In a nutshell, most of those affected have limited skills and educations. Over the years, they have grown dependent on various welfare programs. Today, they fear for their future.

This year Cal-Works, the welfare-to-work program that is the state's main support system, was cut by $1 billion. Other Cal-Works changes included shortening the duration an individual can stay on welfare and reducing his monthly check by at least 8 percent.

These cutbacks are a real quandary for legislators because while the state can no longer afford to fund so many generous programs, it also has the nation's second highest unemployment rate, 11.3 percent. In other words, the vulnerable have no place to turn.

With no jobs in sight and reduced welfare benefits now a fact of life, many of the poorest Californians face, at best, life in a shelter or, at worst, on the street. Because of California's growing income disparity, homelessness has been on the rise for a decade. Every major city and most rural areas have significant homeless populations.

While birth rates in California and immigration into the state have trended slightly downward in recent years, the level at which they peaked was so unsustainably high that few positive effects have been realized. More troubling, when declines in immigration and new births are recession-related, as these are, historically they are temporary.

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, California's 2010 "natural" population (births minus deaths) increased by 283,799 while "net migration" (legal and illegal immigrants minus residents who left California to live either abroad or in other states) hit 66,375.

An important factor in "net migration" is that because of California's reduced quality of life, more leave than arrive from other states. Since many who move away have jobs and pay state taxes, their departure adds to California's revenue shortfall.

The solution for which I have advocated since I first began to write columns in 1988 is two-fold. First, prospective parents should adopt sensible family planning goals by limiting themselves to two or fewer children (replacement level). Financially challenged couples should consider that a childless marriage may be the right choice for them, at least until they are better established.

Second, the federal government needs to include serious discussions of the connection between immigration policy and ever-increasing population. To ignore population when promoting liberalized federal immigration laws is to eventually doom the other 49 states to the same fate as California.

California is in advanced decline when it comes to providing for its residents. Looking the other way does nothing for future generations.

Joe Guzzardi retired from the Lodi Unified School District in 2008. He lives in Pittsburgh, which has stable growth rates. Contact him at

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