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In 2010 elections, Democrats may pay a big price for their blunders

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Posted: Friday, September 4, 2009 10:00 pm

In California, the unemployment rate is 12.1 percent. Only four states have higher unemployment: Michigan, Rhode Island, Oregon and South Carolina.

California's unemployment picture is unique, however, because it has affected men disproportionately.

Out of every four jobs lost nationwide since the recession began in December 2007, three were held by men.

Some experts have dubbed the phenomenon a "mancession."

The adverse impact on family income is easy to understand. Men traditionally work in the high-paying manufacturing and construction fields, the two most devastated California industries.

Women, on the other hand, are employed in lower-paying service, health care or education jobs.

The good news is that women have managed to keep their jobs. The bad news is that when men are laid off, their larger incomes (women earn just 78 percent of what a man is paid in a similar occupation) and benefits including costly medical insurance are lost, too.

Nationally, the employment picture is equally bleak. During his campaign, Obama promised the American public that the hundreds of billions of dollars pumped into the economy would prevent layoffs and revive America.

Obama sold his economic stimulus package by predicting, "Our plan will likely save or create 3 to 4 million jobs. … Ninety percent of these jobs will be created in the private sector."

To say that Obama broke his promise is an understatement. Since making his campaign pledge, Obama's administration has seen unemployment skyrocket to a national level of 9.4 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Broken down over the last six months, job losses are as follows: February, 651,000; March, 663,000; April, 539,000; May, 303,000; June, 443,000; July, 247,000.

As unsettling as these figures are, a complete picture of unemployed America evolves when the underemployed are factored into the equation.

A CNN special titled "Jobs Now" concluded that nearly 30 million Americans are either unemployed or underemployed.

The official unemployed population is 14.5 million. But when economists add 8.8 million part-time workers who want but cannot find full-time jobs and 6.2 million who have been unemployed so long that they are no longer included in labor statistics surveys, then the total unemployed reaches 30 million.

With any serious uptick in jobs unlikely, and with the economy still staggering, analysts wonder if in 2010 mid-term elections the Democrats will pay the political price for their failures.

Republicans like to compare the current political climate to 1994, during Bill Clinton's first term when the Republicans regained Congress.

Two major factors are in play today for Obama that were not involved back in 1994. Neither bode well for Obama (or the Democrats) over the short or long term.

Leading up to the 2010 mid-term elections, the current uproar over unemployment, the mortgage crisis, the deficit and, most importantly, health care are much greater than anything that occurred in 1994.

Under Clinton, the country had already pulled out of a recession, but nevertheless the Democrats suffered catastrophic defeats by losing 54 representatives in the House and eight in the Senate.

If the Congressional mid-terms went badly for the Democrats in 1994 under much better economic circumstances, even larger 2010 defeats may loom.

As for Obama and 2012, while that date is a long way off, dark clouds are gathering.

Although Clinton had no trouble getting reelected in 1996, he is a much smarter and smoother politician than Obama. The liberal Clinton, an Oxford scholar, understands economics.

Obama, on the other hand, knows nothing about economics and is on the extreme left wing of his party, as opposed to the majority of Americans who are moderates.

While it's uncertain whether the Republicans will capture either the House or the Senate next year, they will make significant gains. By so doing, the GOP will lay a foundation for 2012 to take both Congress and the White House.

Joe Guzzardi retired from the Lodi Unified School District in 2008. He now lives in Pennsylvania where the unemployment rate is 8.5 percent. Contact him at guzzjoe@yahoo.com.

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Welcome to the discussion.

32 comments:

  • posted at 4:27 am on Sat, Sep 12, 2009.

    Posts:

    Lodian,Everyone from everyone party and everywalk of life should be floored by what ACORN is up to in the video on the link I posted. Will you just explain it awayas a well correographed stunt? And the billions of dollars in stimulous money that has gone to ACORN hasn't been used to further their racketeering? Huh Lodian?

     
  • posted at 4:18 am on Sat, Sep 12, 2009.

    Posts:

    Lodian,The GOP may be upset about how Wilson made his point. But they aren't the least bit upset about the point being made. All politicians are self-serving.It just happens to be Obama had it coming to him long ago. When he stands up there and spews out lie after lie with such glee and committment and to expect us just to be silent. It doesn't work that way.

     
  • posted at 6:21 pm on Fri, Sep 11, 2009.

    Posts:

    I see that the Republicans are pretty darn ticked off at Wilson for his outburst at the president and made Wilson apologize. How embarrassing for Wilson and the Republicans. Bad show.

     
  • posted at 4:49 pm on Thu, Sep 10, 2009.

    Posts:

    We wait for the next election and throw all the bums out. Mumblenegger if we can get to him sooner.

     
  • posted at 4:34 pm on Thu, Sep 10, 2009.

    Posts:

    Did anyone hear the giant sucking soundlast night? Every time Pelosi stood up to clap she was trying to kiss Obama's a$$.

     
  • posted at 3:19 pm on Thu, Sep 10, 2009.

    Posts:

    http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,548827,00.htmlACORN Officials Videotaped Telling 'Pimp,' 'Prostitute' How to Lie to IRS-And this will be another nail in the Obama administration's coffin. Oh what a tangled web they weave.

     
  • posted at 10:46 am on Thu, Sep 10, 2009.

    Posts:

    Joe, and well they should..

     
  • posted at 3:14 pm on Wed, Sep 9, 2009.

    Posts:

    Who started the 5yr no intrest loans ? And no varification of income loans? Just a note, When Republicans did nothing about Illigals they lost the confidence of a lot of people Mexican citizens included. Pepe Plomero. By the way Stop paying Government employees to speek espaniol. maby they will have an incentive to learn english!

     
  • posted at 2:58 pm on Wed, Sep 9, 2009.

    Posts:

    Nice, rantraves. LOL

     
  • posted at 3:07 am on Wed, Sep 9, 2009.

    Posts:

    I guess the hardest part about being a lib is having to scrape the "hope" off of the pavement every time it gets run over by reality.

     
  • posted at 2:12 am on Wed, Sep 9, 2009.

    Posts:

    He is God, himself.

     
  • posted at 7:05 pm on Tue, Sep 8, 2009.

    Posts:

    jramagic wrote on Sep 8, 2009 2:38 PM:" I just watched the President's speech to America's young. We are so blessed to have a man like this as President of our country. At last- a person of intelligence and character and accomplishment that we can all have as a role model. I will pray for President Obama. I will pray for him to guide us along the correct path. I will pray for his safety, health and success. And I will pray for his reelection by an overwhelming majority of American citizens. And I will pray for all of President Obama's bitter, acidic, narrow-minded critics, that they may always have the right to publicly say their piece, no matter how inaccurate and moronic their points of view may be. "So very well said! I agree 100%! Nice job, jramagic.

     
  • posted at 9:38 am on Tue, Sep 8, 2009.

    Posts:

    I just watched the President's speech to America's young. We are so blessed to have a man like this as President of our country. At last- a person of intelligence and character and accomplishment that we can all have as a role model. I will pray for President Obama. I will pray for him to guide us along the correct path. I will pray for his safety, health and success. And I will pray for his reelection by an overwhelming majority of American citizens. And I will pray for all of President Obama's bitter, acidic, narrow-minded critics, that they may always have the right to publicly say their piece, no matter how inaccurate and moronic their points of view may be.

     
  • posted at 6:25 am on Tue, Sep 8, 2009.

    Posts:

    California's Democrat dominated Assembly and Senate led to high state government spending, increased taxes, increased fees, a growing state government bureaucracy as the private sector shrunk in California. Schwarzenegger does not create legislation. It's the Democrats with their damaging social programs, higher taxes, increased fees, regulations, etc. A tsunami is coming...

     
  • posted at 3:32 am on Tue, Sep 8, 2009.

    Posts:

    Obama is not even in the plane. He has Pelosi and Reid at the controls and they have confused the brake pedal with the gas pedal on their way to the ground.

     
  • posted at 3:14 am on Tue, Sep 8, 2009.

    Posts:

    Er, uh....California has a REPUBLICAN governator, Joe. And Obama cannot be blamed for assuming the controls of the great airliner "USA" when the previous pilot had placed it into a full speed vertical nosedive while that pilot and his crew all parachuted out the rear, backpacks chock-full of money. The O-Manis pulling hard back on the controls, but this giant beast of a machine has enormous downward momentum...its no Beechcraft! It takes time...let's just hope we don't hit the ground first.

     
  • posted at 12:06 pm on Mon, Sep 7, 2009.

    Posts:

    Yeah...isn't it funny how just before the government took over the auto industry, they were berating the ceo's about traveling in private jets. I guess only congress is aloud to fly in them. What a bunch of hypocrites.

     
  • posted at 11:48 am on Mon, Sep 7, 2009.

    Posts:

    Sparky: You have to give them credit for knowing how to order a bunch of new personal [taxpayer paid] jets. I dont know how to do that.

     
  • posted at 10:55 am on Mon, Sep 7, 2009.

    Posts:

    Rasmussen Reports poll:Presidential Approval Rating: Strongly Approve 28% Strongly Dis-approve 41% Total Approve 48% Total Dis-approve 51%Would like to see all of congress replaced: 57%Nancy Pelosi below 35%Harry Reid is behind in the polls for his seat in the Senate race of 2010Charlie Rangel is in charge of the House Ways & Means Committee (the committee that make the tax laws that we have to follow). He is currently under investigation for several tax evasion charges.Chris Dodd and Barney Frank are in bed with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. I would like anyone to please tell me specifically one thing any of these people listed above have done to personally help you and your family. Congress needs a wake-up call.

     
  • posted at 4:02 pm on Sun, Sep 6, 2009.

    Posts:

    With nebulous, unsubstianted comments like yours, I will let you have the last word. There is no way facts will persuade you otherwise.

     
  • posted at 2:19 pm on Sun, Sep 6, 2009.

    Posts:

    Max ol Boy you skip right over the main cause of our Train wreck. Figures!!Sure you can Type Barney Frank, hell I’ll go along with that.. But put theBlame where it belongs. 8 years of the worst President ever. And I votedfor him…The damage that idiot did to this country will take years to putback together. He has no guts, he won’t defend his administration. he’sletting Dick Cheney do it for him…Failed SS. Failed Medicare, failedEducation. Failed energy policy. Failed War’s in Iraq and Afghanistan almost 5000 dead and untold numbers of wounded and for what?? You tellMe Max ol Boy… For what???

     
  • posted at 12:39 pm on Sun, Sep 6, 2009.

    Posts:

    Gator: Looking for a train wreck ? Type in Barney Frank.

     
  • posted at 12:37 pm on Sun, Sep 6, 2009.

    Posts:

    PS: JB Hiker. Joe is a died in the wool leftie, liberal and on a good day maybe a libertarian. You are really not only way off base, but you are outside the base paths. He is only attacking Osama bin Kommie because this pervert is so incredibly evil. If you haven't followed Joe, you are really out of touch. You stepped over the obvious.

     
  • posted at 12:33 pm on Sun, Sep 6, 2009.

    Posts:

    To JB hiker: Chant this refrain "Bush is gone" "Bush is gone" "Bush is gone" "Bush is gone" "Bush is gone" "Bush is gone" You and Osama Bin Commie have the same answer to everything. Its Bush's fault. Again chant: "Bush is gone"

     
  • posted at 4:17 am on Sun, Sep 6, 2009.

    Posts:

    To go along with my post of Sep 5, 2009 10:20 PM: 83&½ % of all Americans are a minimum of 26,000.00 dollars in debt.. Rather speaksfor it’s self eh what….

     
  • posted at 5:20 pm on Sat, Sep 5, 2009.

    Posts:

    Funny thing Joe is closer to being a libertarian than anything else… About that housing crisis. There is no one to blame but the everyday American.Caught up in bigger is better and credit cards are for maxing out, hell doIt with 4 or 5...Buy that 4000 sq ft house with 2 mortgages. Got thatChevy Suburban for only 48,000.00 hey how about a new Sanger wakeBoard boat for only 55.000.00. Even Ray Charles could see the train wreckThat was coming…Now people sit around and wait for someone to fix it, Duh.. You people broke it you need to fix it…..

     
  • posted at 4:38 pm on Sat, Sep 5, 2009.

    Posts:

    The housing crises was the result of liberal demands that no one be turned down for mortgage loans. For the first 6 years of the Bush administration we were doing fine economically, then the people wanted change and gave both houses to the democrats in the 2006 election, that is where it all began to deteriorate.

     
  • posted at 4:36 pm on Sat, Sep 5, 2009.

    Posts:

    I think Guzzardi lives on (as MSNBC calls it) Planet Cheney. I think I am done reading this guy's column. Every time he writes it looks like another set of republican talking points. Hey Joe - Can you at least do a little reading? Some research would be nice! And quit getting your ideas from Fox news? Did you know there is a saying for this - Monkey See, Monkey Do? Real Conservatives aren't this ignorant.

     
  • posted at 7:49 am on Sat, Sep 5, 2009.

    Posts:

    One thing's for sure....with 30 million plus American's out of work, working for Uncle Sam and his non-stop wars starts to look better and better.Hmmmm....maybe this unemployment thing was planned so the "all volunteer" army would have plenty of "volunteers"

     
  • posted at 7:48 am on Sat, Sep 5, 2009.

    Posts:

    Maybe it's time for a third-party candidate.

     
  • posted at 5:15 am on Sat, Sep 5, 2009.

    Posts:

    It has almost been a year since McCain famously stated: "The fundamentals of the economy are sound". Hmm....what was the Republican suggestion beside putting their heads in the sand leading up to the economic collapse? Who was in charge? Who could have faced the crisis before it hit ?Who took advantage of record oil prices?Just because Obama and his administration hasn't cleaned up the mess created by all of us (including holier then than thou Republicans) , doesn't mean the Republican's will benefit. Anyway I still can't afford to vote Republican and for a hands off business government.

     
  • posted at 2:12 am on Sat, Sep 5, 2009.

    Posts:

    Well I don't understand your reasoning since the economic crash is now known to be caused by Bush's appointment of SEC Chairman Pitt and his "hands off" approach to governing businesses. Even Greenspan admitted it was a mistake - just one of many caused by the Republican's Senate confirmations. And let's not forget Chris Cox, remember he did not get Bernie Madoff for lack of experience? In 2010 elections, Republicans may pay a big price for their blunders, especially adding the BIG one - Healthcare - to their long list of stupid, group-speak behavior.

     

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