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Lodi’s population has historically not grown by huge amounts compared to cities like Tracy or Manteca, and the San Joaquin Council of Governments says that trend will continue over the next 25 years.

Kim Anderson, a senior regional planner with SJCOG, presented the agency’s draft 2014 Regional Transportation Plan and Sustainable Communities Strategy at Wednesday’s Lodi City Council meeting.

Anderson said SJCOG expects the county’s population to increase to more than 1 million residents between 2030 and 2035, with 100,000 more households built in that timeframe.

However, Anderson said that only 3,600 new households are expected in Lodi by 2035. She said Lodi will account for just 4 percent of the total households in San Joaquin County by 2040.

Annually, Anderson said Lodi will grow by just 0.54 percent.

These estimates are based on the number of building permits issued in Lodi since 1990.

Anderson said Lodi issued about 5 percent of the county’s building permits between 1990 and 2011. More recently, permits issued in Lodi between 2008 and 2011 made up less than 1 percent of those issued throughout the county, she said.

From these historic and projected numbers, Anderson said the SJCOG expects to allocate $117.93 million from RTP/SCS funds to Lodi transit projects, and $169 million to street rehabilitation projects through 2040.

In addition, the SJCOG expects to fund interchange projects in Lodi — like Highway 99 at Kettleman Lane, and Highway 99 at Harney Lane — by $55.34 million.

Regional roadway improvements can expect to see $34.6 million in RTP/SCS funding through 2040, Anderson said.

Lodi’s regional roadway projects include widening Victor Road, Lockeford Street and Ham and Harney lanes, as well as building an additional two lanes on Century Boulevard between Church and Stockton streets.

“This plan will be updated every four years,” Anderson said. “These (figures) would be updated as time goes on, and are subject to change in projected revenues.”

According to the SJCOG website, the agency expects $11 billion in projected revenues to be available for all county projects through 2040.

That $11 billion is made up of local revenues such as Measure K, the 1990 half-cent county sales tax measure renewed in 2006, as well as the Regional Transportation Impact Fee program and other local transportation funds.

County revenues make up 50 percent of the $11 billion, according to SJCOG.

State revenues make up 25 percent of the program funding, coming from the State Transportation Program, the State Highway Operations and Protection Program, and the state gas tax.

Federal funding from the Federal Transit Administration, Surface Transportation Program and Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program cover the remaining 16 percent, according to SJCOG.

Anderson said San Joaquin County was the first of eight to submit an RTP/SCS.

Vice Mayor Larry Hansen is one of 12 members representing San Joaquin County cities on SJCOG.

He said all eight Central Valley counties have been required by state legislators to have such a plan, and if just one doesn’t comply, funding for the other seven could be affected.

“It’s difficult to project out (to 2040), but we’re required to have a plan in place that lays out where we’re going two decades from now,” he said. “Who knows where we’re going, but this is a plan that needs to be in place.”

A public review period of the RTP/SCS will end on April 23. The document can be found online at www.sjcog.org/valleyvisions.

The SJCOG is scheduled to approve the document in June.

Contact reporter Wes Bowers at wesb@lodinews.com.



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