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Breaking down Lodi votes

Democrats stick together on Eastside; Republicans move west

By Ross Farrow
News-Sentinel Staff Writer
Monday, May 4, 2009 9:53 AM PDT

Voters in Lodi's Eastside largely supported President Obama in the November election, while the rest of the city chose Sen. John McCain.

Following Obama's 100-day benchmark as president, the News-Sentinel did a precinct-by-precinct analysis of how Lodians voted in the election. The results show that, with a few exceptions, local residents appear to have voted along socioeconomic lines.

The Lodi neighborhoods showing the greatest support for each candidate show a great dichotomy in terms of demographics, and even appearance.

One west Lodi neighborhood is quiet, with most residents presumably at work or inside their stately homes with manicured lawns. The neighborhood from Lower Sacramento Road to the Woodbridge Irrigation District canal, and between Kettleman Lane to just south of Vine Street, had more people vote for McCain in the November election than anywhere else in Lodi.

While nearly all precincts west of the Union Pacific Railroad tracks supported McCain, this neighborhood was the only one to exceed 70 percent.

"Maybe it's the backbone of the people who live here," Magic Lane resident Ortrud Goiorani said. "The upper-class neighborhoods vote Republican. That's the only thing my instinct tells me."

Across town lies a much older neighborhood with small homes on small lots. Many Hispanics and some Pakistanis live there. The commercial area on South Central Avenue is the heart of the neighborhood, which generally lies from the Lodi Avenue to Vine Street, from the railroad tracks to Cherokee Lane. This neighborhood, which includes much of Lodi's industrial area east of Highway 99, showed the greatest support in Lodi for Obama, at almost 69 percent.

"He said he wanted to help out Hispanics," said Juana Chavez, a special education aide at Heritage Elementary School in the heart of the neighborhood with the greatest Obama support. "That's probably why a lot of them voted for Obama."

On the city's west side, Matt Howen, mowing his front lawn on Vienna Drive, said it didn't make sense to him why voters were so excited about Obama.

"I don't really understand why, except he's black and different from the last eight years," Howen said.

On why his neighborhood supported McCain, Howen said, "I guess a lot of people here are paranoid of Obama," adding that they were afraid he would ruin the country.

University of the Pacific professor Keith Smith said it's not uncommon to find a "residential sorting pattern," where people choose to have like-minded people as neighbors.

"One of the things that is increasingly important is the political beliefs of those around them," said Smith, who teaches about campaigning and political institutions. "Republicans are more likely to live near Republicans, and Democrats live near more Democrats,"

Precinct-by-precinct voting
Precinct
McCain
Obama
Other
42401-4243434330618
4240251533923
42403-4242717741914
424041611369
4240516220211
4240639624013
4240737823123
4240821722313
424091629513
4241026016312
4241151033522
4241222319416
4241331520311
42414-4244827326013
42415-4242544123018
42416-4243550625914
424173731689
4241829721613
42419-4244739824325
42420-4242148736221
42422-4243850629916
4242336917213
4242437321411
4242645235921
4242835530818
4242920323112
4243027517510
4243117317411
424325412228
424333711956
4243715722815
4243946928223
424402761909
424415093365
4244333717310
4244417725719
4244629528021
4244940323517


Smith said that economics is a powerful indicator of how people will vote. Lower-income people tend to vote Democratic, and wealthier voters usually are Republican, he said.

Contrary to popular belief, it has been proven that candidates' positions on social issues are not an indicator of voter preference, Smith said. After the 2000 election, Democrats were afraid that social issues would determine voting patterns, he said, but it's not the case.

Joe Garcia, who lives on East Tokay Street, said his neighborhood may have supported Obama because he's a "Moreno" â€" someone who is neither black nor white.

Goiorani, who lives in the same pro-McCain neighborhood as Howen, said it's too early to tell how good a job Obama has done in his first 100 days since entering the White House on Jan. 20.

"I feel he has his heart in the right place, but he might be taking on too much, too soon, too fast," Goiorani said. "He really is sincere about wanting to fix this country."

On the Eastside, Rosa Cardenas, an 18-year neighborhood resident who owns a business on South Central Avenue, said she's still waiting for Obama to come through with racial reforms.

"Hispanic people want racial reform, and they want amnesty," Cardenas said. "And Obama promised (that) in the future he would do something."

Hispanics who are not American citizens don't qualify for social security, but they work and pay taxes, Cardenas said.

Garcia, who lives on the Eastside, said he's disappointed that Obama gave large bailout money to banks and the auto industry.

Smith, the political science professor, says that 100 days isn't enough time to make a significant impact.

"He put his stamp on the administration, where possible, did some quick changes. But I don't know if we could have expected much more," Smith said. "With a tanking economy and world events outside the control, he's done what you would expect a president to do.

"His leadership is going to be slower in terms of decision making, but that's because he's making an effort to hearing all sides of an issue."

Contact reporter Ross Farrow at rossf@lodinews.com.

Lodi’s votes: By the numbers

East Lodi

Obama: 1,934 (52.09 percent)

McCain: 1,665 (44.84 percent)

Other: 114 (3.07 percent)

West Lodi

Obama: 7,220 (38.37 percent)

McCain: 11,170 (59.36 percent)

Other: 426 (2.26 percent)

Note: Once precinct north of Turner Road includes both sides of tracks.

Total

Obama: 9,154 (40.63 percent)

McCain: 12,835 (56.97 percent)

Other: 540 (2.40 percent)

Total votes: 22,529


Lodi residents’ thoughts on Obama’s presidency

Joe Garcia

East Tokay Street
“There’s a breakdown on immigration. He was supposed to help out people coming over here â€" legal, not illegal aliens.â€
Matt Howen

Vienna Drive
“I don’t like that he gave money to other countries that support abortion.â€
Jill Martinez

Flora Street
“They can only do so much, you know what I mean? I think he’ll do well. He has to be better than Bush.â€
Rosa Cardenas

Eastside resident and business owner
“I think he’s doing pretty well. The country has a lot of problems with the war in Iraq, economic problems. He has a cabinet working for him, like Hillary â€" he made good choices.â€
Raymond Lilley

Vienna Drive
“I think they’re all corrupt, regardless of party. They don’t care about the people. I don’t vote. The last person I voted for was Ronald Reagan for governor in 1966. I voted for John Kennedy when I was 20.â€

Reader Feedback

what22 wrote on May 5, 2009 8:30 PM:

" and this news why giovannia you are a racist face it "

sven31 wrote on May 5, 2009 6:06 PM:

" Cogito (continued)
You might draw conclusions other than what the popular vote for presidential candidates was, but you would need some other instrument to prove any conclusions you might draw. Ultimately, you would need to poll voters of the candidates about their economic status to be able to draw a conclusion about income level and voting preference.

I have bachelors and masters degrees in a scientific field. I've taken several upper division courses in psychometry.
I know how to collect, evaluate, and (get this) disaggregate data. I can read a poll and determine what it does and does not measure.

The public is easily fooled by polls, tables, graphs, you name it. If they put a headline above the data, the public tends to agree with the headline, not the data.

A more serious question regarding this whole issue remains: How was Mr.Lilley able to vote for JFK when he was 20 years old. Until 1972, the voting age was 21.?? Why does no one look at that?
(I believe Mr. Lilly just misspoke and did not intend to confess to voting fraud) "

sven31 wrote on May 5, 2009 5:51 PM:

" Cogito I see your fishing eh?

If what you said before is that there seems to be a high concentration of people (and Obama supporters)east of Hutchins street, then yes, it proves what you said.

If you're talking about who claims to be the party that supports and seeks the votes of the little guy, I don't see any support for your position because this election "report" is only evidence that voters in precincts almost entirely east of Hutchins St. voted for President Obama and not Senator McCain (who is a gentleman).

Are there more "poor" people on the east side? I would guess "yes". There are "rich" people living on the eastside just like there are some "poor" people living on the west side.

The data in this report does not measure any such thing. It only measures the number of votes for president in each precinct. You're bright. You can't say this report measures anything else but number of votes for a candidate.

Continued "

Lodian wrote on May 4, 2009 11:51 AM:

" Raymond Lilley: You really should vote. "

Socrates wrote on May 3, 2009 7:38 AM:

" Those who voted and want to be involved in politics....join the Ron Paul group
at www.campaignforliberty.com
Real Change not this fake change promised by Obama.....
It's time we the people take over our country for liberty, justice, the Constitution and stop false politicians like Obama who want to step on the Constitution, spend like a drunken sailor, and restore our liberties... "

Socrates wrote on May 3, 2009 7:34 AM:

" Obama is a typical politician making promises he will or can't keep. Why? Amnesty was proposed by President Bush and McCain in 2007 with Senator Kennedy. Guess what? Americans whether Democrat or Republican were angry and forced Democrat Senators/Congressmen to vote against Amnesty. We have current immigration laws. We need to enforce our laws. We had an amnesty in 1986 for 3 million illegals. We're continuing broken policies of amnesty while not enforceing our current immigration laws. My family came to America legally not illegally. Amnesty will be shot down again! We have over 13 million unemployed Americans who need jobs. "

jimp wrote on May 2, 2009 11:43 PM:

" I know that the illegals can't vote but you know all their friends and family are going to so that they don't get sent back which will require them to sneak back again. Biden to Cuba sounds like a great start. It would give him time to come up with some new interrogation tactics like saying please, please, please tell us something. "

dogs4you wrote on May 2, 2009 3:59 PM:

" Jimp, I wasn`t aware that illegal`s could vote. But then if someone wants to give you something for nothing, go for it. The first 100 days Obama can promise anything since it`s in print, and most everyone can remember what was said. Now the second 100 days is where he makes or brakes himself, since he has to make good on everything that was said in the first 100 days. The first thing to be done is to send Joe Biden to Cuba for 3 1/2 years to find out how many rusted out cars there are on the island. Biden is GHW Bush`s Dan Quale. "

cogito wrote on May 2, 2009 12:30 PM:

" Sven, I think the demographic breakdown here shows I was right in regards to who votes which way. I rest my case. "

Whoa Nellie! wrote on May 2, 2009 12:27 PM:

" The only thing this article revealed is that Ray Lilley might be the conspiricy theorist Loadeye, lol! "..they're all corrupt." "

jimp wrote on May 2, 2009 10:33 AM:

" It doesn’t surprise me, the lines between the voting preferences. The west side has a majority (not all) that works hard for a living. The east side has a majority (again, not all) that are waiting for the free stuff to be handed to them. Of course they are going to vote for Obama. Anyone who promises them amnesty for being here ILLEGALY is surely going to get their vote. They also are the one that think they deserve the bailout more than the banks or auto industry. They don’t understand that those institutions are a large part of the backbone of the economy. It’s all about them and what they get, for free. I think that Obama’s fist 100 days show his socialist desires. Taking over the banks, and auto companies. He wants to control everything. This is what you see in the commy countries. When that happens then I guess we’ll all get our free stuff. "

wtf wrote on May 2, 2009 9:14 AM:

" Raymond Lilley has it right....they're all corrupt. Basically, everyone in Lodi voted for the same guy - McBama - which is why I voted for Ron Paul - a REAL conservative Republican....oh, and I live on the East Side. LOL! "

Giovanina wrote on May 2, 2009 8:24 AM:

" "Hispanic people want racial reform, and they want amnesty," Cardenas said. "And Obama promised (that) in the future he would do something."

No they don't. The Raza wants reconquista of California, legal and illegal. They don't care if they break the law to get it. Well Ms. Cardenas, Americans decide who comes in the U.S. not illegals. You are only concerned about your raza. That is racist. "

Observer wrote on May 2, 2009 7:40 AM:

" Well, when it comes to the "redistribution of the wealth" we can see who is receiving the money and who the money is coming from. Pretty simple to me. "

jbhiker wrote on May 2, 2009 4:56 AM:

" And this is news because...? "

Comments on this story are now closed.