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Foreclosure rate makes Mountain House the 'underwater' epicenter
Stockton claims the most foreclosures in the nation, but it's the unincorporated town to its southwest that holds the highest number of homes worth far less than the loans that paid for them.
Mountain House is awash with properties devalued into negative equity, according to real estate analysts at First American CoreLogic. In fact, a recent report shows that the town of 8,000 has the nation's highest per-capita rate of what the industry calls "underwater" mortgages — loans that are more than the home's assessed value.
Nationwide, 7.6 million homeowners, as of the end of September, are underwater. Add another 2.1 million inching closer, and the number nears a quarter of all homeowners in the country, based on the same study.
Of the 1,856 mortgages in the 95391 ZIP code — which encompasses Mountain House and a few outlying properties — only 209 homeowners owe less on their mortgages than their home is worth.
Anne Goodrich and her husband, Darren Clark, both 37, are among the 90 percent of the town's homeowners whose loans are more expensive than their property's assessed value.
The two bought their four-bedroom tract home for $400,000 nearly 41/2 years ago, at the height of the market. Today, Goodrich said she would rather forget that her home is worth somewhere in the neighborhood of $300,000.
But the news is less dire than it seems, several residents said. Homeowners like Goodrich stuck with negative equity will not necessarily opt to sell at a loss or let the property lapse into foreclosure.
The median household income in the planned community is close to $90,000. That's nearly double the state median and higher than Tracy's $80,000 average family income.
Many who call the bedroom community home can afford to wait out the economic slump, said Andy Su, a local physician and newly elected Mountain House Community Services District board member.
"I think the future of the town is fine," Su said. "Markets are cyclical."
Matthew Balzarini, another top vote-getter in the election for the town's inaugural governing board, added that it's misleading to compare Mountain House to other towns.
"It's not like other cities," he said. "This is not a Mountain House issue. This is partly just that people all bought around the same time, five years ago, when the market was strong. And that's when everyone moved here. That's how young the town is."
Other cities have enough variance in the real estate market to balance the statistics, he pointed out.
Even though Goodrich and Clark owe more than what they signed up for, the couple plans to keep the house. Just because the family dipped into equity and bought on the high end of a since-plummeted market doesn't mean they'll walk away.
"We're going to hang on," said Goodrich, a Bethany Elementary School teacher. "We're just saving like mad right now for when the payment doubles."
That happens in June next year, when her five-year adjustable-rate monthly mortgage payment will jump from $1,300 to twice that.
"Right now, we're more worried about saving the house than saving for our children's college," she said. "We'll go back to the bank when the loan resets."
Recent homebuyers feel the stress, too, but to a lesser extent, because they have less to lose.
Dublin adult school teacher Renmani Kapadia, 29, moved into a four-bedroom Mountain House home in June with her husband, Arif Kapadia, 35. The two bought the place for $298,000, and already the market has undermined that value by another $30,000 or so.
"But it's OK," said the mother of one with another on the way. "All these foreclosures up and down the block, they allowed younger people to enter the market who otherwise wouldn't have been able to afford it."
She said she's actually grateful for the circumstances and plans to live in her new home for several years. At least, she hopes, until "this all blows over."

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