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Surge of retail on Lodi's horizon
Two major projects up for fall votes
News-Sentinel Staff Writer
Between Lodi's two largest commercial developments — Reynolds Ranch and the proposed Wal-Mart Supercenter project — there are more than a million square-feet of retail space on the city's horizon.
Combined, that's a lot of shopping. It's about as much space as the massive Elk Grove Promenade being built along Highway 99 at Grant Line Road.
And while at least one private firm cautioned that the Supercenter project alone could create an "oversupply" of retail in the Lodi area, local real estate and government leaders say that with time, the projects will fit just right.
Demand, they noted, might not be here now. But it will be.
"In California, it takes so long to get approvals on projects it makes sense to look down the road five years," said Garry Duncan, owner of The Duncan Co. Inc., who has worked as a commercial real estate broker in the area since 1981.
"Long term," he added, "I don't think it's a problem."
Duncan, along with several others, noted that Reynolds Ranch and the Supercenter will draw customers from shopping-starved Galt, the foothills and even north Stockton.
That's exactly what Dale Gillespie, lead developer for Reynolds Ranch, is betting on. He asked city planning commissioners this week to allow his project to expand to 750,000 square-feet of retail space. The development is partially under construction at Harney Lane west of Highway 99. It includes the new Blue Shield office building.
A bust for houses but boon for commercial?
Gillespie's request was put on-hold so commissioners can take a closer look at the increased traffic the changes would produce.
The developer had asked to trim back space for single-family homes and eliminate a planned elementary school, citing the failing housing market.
Initial plans for Reynolds Ranch, showing 350,000 square-feet of retail, were approved by the Lodi City Council in 2006.
The Supercenter project, by comparison, would include 13 buildings and nearly 340,000 square-feet of retail, the bulk of it in the 226,000 square-foot Supercenter. That project, which still needs approval from the council, is formally known as the Lodi Shopping Center. It would sit across town from Reynolds Ranch, on the southwest corner of Lower Sacramento Road and Kettleman Lane.
A private firm that has studied both projects has stated Lodi may be in for a saturation of retail shops in the coming years.
Pacific Municipal Consultants of Rancho Cordova was hired to assess the effects of the Supercenter. It was also charged with looking at the cumulative affects of the area's planned growth.
An excerpt of the report, included in the Supercenter's final revised environmental impact report, states:
"The construction of the Lodi Shopping Center in combination with Reynolds Ranch could lead to an oversupply of retail space in the Lodi area. To illustrate, with the completion of the Lodi Shopping Center alone, it is estimated that there would remain a residual demand for approximately 22,000 square-feet of retail space over the 2006 to 2015 period."
Lodi City Councilman Larry Hansen said he doesn't buy that argument. He noted that the city desperately needs to raise sales tax revenue. City spokesman Jeff Hood confirmed this week that Lodi sales tax revenue is expected to be down $800,000 from earlier estimates.
"I respect (the consultant's) opinion that says there might be too much, but I'm not sure I agree with it. ... I think we can support a lot of retail."
"Look at Roseville," he added. "It used to be a city the size of Lodi, and it's shown it can support a lot of retail," Hansen added.
Westfield America Inc. opened the Roseville Galleria mall in 2000. It now offers more than a million square feet of shopping.
More plan reviews coming
Both Reynolds Ranch and the Supercenter must clear several hurdles before they can open.
Planning commissioners, for example, said they're concerned that expanded retail at Reynolds Ranch will lead to gridlock on the Harney Lane interchange at Highway 99.
Residents who live within Reynolds Ranch's bounds also have taken issue with its expanded retail plans.
Several spoke out at the commission meeting Wednesday night, saying they will be boxed in by retail stores.
The Supercenter project has sparked heated debate in Lodi for half a decade, and continues to do so.
Commissioners will review a revised environmental report for that project on Sept. 24.
Commissioner Tim Mattheis said Wednesday night he was astounded that city planning staff had not required additional traffic improvements for Reynolds Ranch's proposed retail expansion.
Lodi Public Works Director Wally Sandelin explained Friday that he's confident requirements set in place in 2006 are sufficient. He said initial traffic studies made conservative estimates for how many cars would travel Harney Lane and other nearby roads.
Those initial requirements will stand when and if the project is expanded, he said.
Before the anchor commercial stores open at Reynolds Ranch, expected at the earliest by fall 2009, Harney Lane must be widened to four lanes between Stockton Street and the future Reynolds Ranch Parkway, the development's main thoroughfare. Traffic signals will be placed at the intersection of Reynolds Ranch Parkway and Harney Lane and on each side of the Harney Lane interchange with Highway 99 before the stores open, Sandelin said.
"The (traffic improvement) plans are all in place — they're sitting right here," he added.
Widening the highway interchange is a $35 million project and won't happen before the first stores open. Construction could start on the interchange by 2011, Sandelin said.
While the Supercenter project and Reynolds Ranch each have a somewhat thorny path ahead, they also have a lot of promise, said longtime Lodi real estate agent Paul Mertz.
"The companies that are looking at this kind of stuff are usually substantial — and they do their homework," said Mertz, who specializes in residential real estate. "My guess is their timing on this is going to be pretty good."
Contact reporter Chris Nichols at chrisn@lodinews.com.


Reader Feedback
Zinfandel wrote on Sep 7, 2008 7:47 AM:
" We're losing our livable lovable Lodi. "
Lodian, please, Lodi has not been "livable or lovable" for a very very long time! And before you start, I am a native born Lodian and I know how snobbish and cliquish this town is! "
Lodian wrote on Sep 6, 2008 11:39 PM:
Robb wrote on Sep 5, 2008 7:01 PM:
Socrates wrote on Sep 4, 2008 8:45 AM:
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 9:13 PM:
T & C wrote on Sep 1, 2008 7:38 PM:
Please give serious consideration to being a spokesman for Safeway and the other big grocery store chains in their bid to stop the super wal-mart from breaking ground! "
raiderhater wrote on Sep 1, 2008 4:20 PM:
Ex: Vinter's Square? "
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 3:51 PM:
dogs4you wrote on Sep 1, 2008 1:56 PM:
T & C wrote on Sep 1, 2008 1:33 PM:
dogs4you wrote on Sep 1, 2008 1:01 PM:
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 12:45 PM:
Their starting pay scale is usually as high or, even as an apprentice, 4 or 5 dollars more an hour to start with and medical and pension for every member with enough hours and classes after a 60-day probationary period.
Our mechanical crafts have these apprenticeship classes also available to the non-union sector, but most non-union contractors opt not to use them because then they'd have to structure this apprentice's wage at about $15 an hour starting wage while the non-union contractor will only be paying $8hour or so.
And the non-union contractor will have 5, say carpenters all doing the same work, yet they'll be making 5 different wage levels, while the union craftsmen all make the same wage while doing the same work. The boss' kid on the non-union will be making the highest wage on the scab job, while on the union job he'll make the same as everyone else. "
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 12:33 PM:
I don't have any hard feelings for any employer that takes good care of their employees whether they're union or not. I do disrespect those employers, union or not, that take advantage of their employees and cheat and lie to them and manipulate their wages and hours only to benefit their own deep pockets. You contractors and business owners know who you are. You're the ones with different employees every month or so and your ex-employees aren't afraid to tell it like it is about the way they were treated and taken advantage of. Guess I'll go fold clothes and vacuum now and thanks dogs, for your opinion on this subject. retirement is tough! LOL "
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 12:21 PM:
In the union I participate in, we were paid an additional $6hour by our employer into a secondary supplemental pension fund over and above our regular pension and my two best friends in Tracy started in 1985 with $2hour and increasing each year, and presently it's $8hour and they have missed very little work and both have in excess of $600,000 in their supplemental accounts, as do at least half of the members in the bay area local. "
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 12:08 PM:
Our union organizing, which includes all the mechanical crafts, will be sure certified payrolls are turned in on all these jobs. The city of Lodi was lax in 2004-2005 and let a contractor slide without turning those payroll receipts in and it resulted in a questionable cost of $309,180. That's from the city of Lodi Schedule of findings and Questioned costs, year ended June30,2005, pages 127-134. Finding 05-01, 05-02, 05-03 and a total amount of $355,360. The contractor wasn't named. "
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 11:49 AM:
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 11:39 AM:
Our union is on a large organizing campaign in California, Nevada and the western states and will be recruiting and handbilling all non-union companies and employees about the benefits of becoming a union member and reaping the profits. They'll also be making these non-signatory contractors aware that they are also obligated to treat their employees fairly and have an obligation to their general contractors to provide qualified men and pay them the prevailing wage on public works projects. "
dogs4you wrote on Sep 1, 2008 11:28 AM:
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 11:27 AM:
Why do you think the economy and wage levels have sunk so low in this country,except for the unions? Because the greedy corporations took those decent paying jobs to India, Mexico and China, to name a few.
You think the unions have lost their power. A sister local in Seattle just settled a five-year contract after a two week strike. $4.00 the first year, $4.50 the second and $4.75 the third with the last two years open according to the economy. And there are also benefit increases in pension, burial benefit, medical, whic includes medical, dental, eyecare and hearing with a complete asbestosis screening every ten years.
It was so much a kick in the butt on those 2-gate open jobs to show the non-union laborers our checkstubs and three times the amount of gross more than theirs. We always were able to recruit new trainees and apprentices on these jobsites mostly because of the healthcare plan alone. "
dogs4you wrote on Sep 1, 2008 11:13 AM:
TandC wrote on Sep 1, 2008 11:09 AM:
Ask any of these laborers here in town on these non-union jobs and see if they can even spell apprenticeship. They're just laborers used by the owner of non-union companies that have a contractors' license themselves for cheap labor. Ask your non-union contractors why they refuse to participate in the state and union sponsored apprenticeship programs? Cheap labor, of course. There iscurrently one non-union good o;' boy contractor here on Frontage Road that's still being handbilled by the union carpenter for labor and wage issues and will try to get some arbitration to get the employees that were cheated out of wages on prevailing wage jobs.
So what you're saying is that when you need some plumbing done you call the rotor rooter guy? I guess you' figure he'd probably be able to do electrical work, too. "
t jefferson wrote on Sep 1, 2008 9:10 AM:
TandC wrote on Aug 31, 2008 9:29 PM:
TandC wrote on Aug 31, 2008 9:27 PM:
commonsense1 wrote on Aug 31, 2008 5:46 PM:
TandC wrote on Aug 31, 2008 4:12 PM:
OTH wrote on Aug 30, 2008 8:41 PM:
It's my understand that back when they were having all the problems with people being killed by trains or driving around the gates or walking across the tracks that (somebody?)decreed that the trains had to blow their whistle so many feet from each crossing. I'm sorry I can't remember what agency it was. I live 4 blocks from the tracks and to tell the truth the only time I hear them is if I'm up real late at night and it's quiet. I know I have counted as many as 11 trains from 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. all blowing their horn. "
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 7:21 PM:
And, common1, all of the most recent meetings are on the archives at Lodi's website. I suggest you watch them before always trying to chastise me. "
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 7:17 PM:
The fine dining restaurants are too pricey for their meals. I cringe when I see the same Port Stockton and Sysco food service trucks make their deliveries at these fancy places and then deliver the same products to family and fast food restaurants. Sysco has a food fair every year for their customers and if you only knew that the nice places buy the same frozen and cook and heat appetizers and entrees that the little places purchase, you'd find the same meal half as cheap elsewhere.
I don't know how Gillespie figures that retail is going to be any better than housing with the economy in the sewer and wages dropping for the middle class and they are saving and not spending on anything right now but necessities. "
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 7:09 PM:
The city council constantly does this with these developments. They already allowed Gillespie to drastically change the housing densities from the original submitted documents and now he doesn't want that to be honored, but more retail.
I'm still waiting for HIM TO PURCHASE that 200 acres, not borrow it from a friend.A deal is a deal and the council better hold him to it.
That's the reason I'm asking all to vote for Mounce and Khan and to get the well connected ex-realtor? Bob Johnson voted back to retirement.And representative Hansen to follow next term. It's rather obvious who they support just by watching the CCmeetings and checking their voting record.
Commonsense1, do you think it's fair or ethical to change the rules foryour own profit? "
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 6:34 PM:
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 6:32 PM:
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 6:16 PM:
commonsense1 wrote on Aug 30, 2008 5:55 PM:
commonsense1 wrote on Aug 30, 2008 5:51 PM:
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 5:38 PM:
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 3:17 PM:
Zinfandel wrote on Aug 30, 2008 3:02 PM:
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 2:49 PM:
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 2:27 PM:
Whoa Nellie! wrote on Aug 30, 2008 2:16 PM:
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 1:27 PM:
Whoa Nellie! wrote on Aug 30, 2008 1:12 PM:
That is only $24,960 per year BEFORE taxes.
While these are needed jobs for someone who might be "down" at the moment it is no way enought money to attempt to live the "American Dream."
In todays paper a 2bed/1ba home in the EAST 400 blocks of Elm and Eden rents for $900 per month and $900 security deposit. That's brutal. My mortgage payment is only $1200 for my 2000sqft home in a nice "older" section of town.
That's got to be such a huge percentage of a $12hr wage earner, how does a family of 2-3-4 afford to eat,cloth, etc? "
Whoa Nellie! wrote on Aug 30, 2008 12:58 PM:
But know way will Dale or any "player" go for such a project. You need an ethnic business person to do the project for it to be really successful.
Major developers want national anchor tenants. What you describe is more of a bunch of independent local businesses. Last time I looked I have not seen too many national, or even SW regional, chain stores geared for Hispanics or Paki's.
Perhaps you should take this opportunity to develop your own strip mall for this market segment?
Of course this type of development will not create many jobs at all since these business are heavily family oriented. "
Zinfandel wrote on Aug 30, 2008 12:53 PM:
" Hey Zin I agree, $12 bucks an hour is better than nothing, especially for a person that hasn`t had a job for months. The self esteem of having a job can do wonders and help a person get back on his feet. We all can`t be rich like T&C. It will be hot today Zin, so I hope you enjoy a soft drink. "
In this day and age, $12 bucks an hour sounds pretty darn good to a lot of people.
Yes, it will be a hot one today. Thanks for the idea, but, I personally prefer water. I have a big bottle of water next to me. "
Zinfandel wrote on Aug 30, 2008 12:49 PM:
" In case anyone hasn`t noticed, the residential and senior housing area located in Reynolds Ranch sits right on top of the Burlington-Northern Rail Road tracks. With trains coming through every 30 minutes of so.
I have to disagree with you. My friend lives along that line and I spend a great deal of time out in that area. Yes there are trains passing through, but, not every thirty minutes or so like you stated. "
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 11:59 AM:
dogs4you wrote on Aug 30, 2008 11:51 AM:
ZInfandel wrote on Aug 30, 2008 11:22 AM:
sam wrote on Aug 30, 2008 11:20 AM:
I have wondered seriously why he gets banned from the blogs. Is it because his "insane" rants are true?
TandC, I for one appreciate your blogs. Please keep them coming. They may be way out there to some, but it is our job to weed through them and find the truth. Thank you. "
ZInfandel wrote on Aug 30, 2008 11:19 AM:
Or will this RR now commercial project just cater to the rich and famous and their families with those $12 an hour jobs at BC/BS? "
I certainly would think that they will have a mix of stores that will serve all of our community not just the "rich and famous".
Their location couldn't be better...with highway 99 to the east, Harney Lane to the north and West Lane not far to the west. "
wtf wrote on Aug 30, 2008 11:07 AM:
I remember when you posted this and it seems you were right on the money. With the increase in traffic, a new EIR should be mandatory. "
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 10:38 AM:
Or will this RR now commercial project just cater to the rich and famous and their families with those $12 an hour jobs at BC/BS? "
lodisafeway wrote on Aug 30, 2008 10:00 AM:
Also curiously missing from the discussion here are the specific "anchor stores" slated for construction in Reynolds Ranch. While we're well aware of a new Wal-Mart on the west side of town, exactly what are we to expect in the other shopping complex? If the stores were mentioned in previous articles I am afraid that I missed them. "
T & C wrote on Aug 30, 2008 8:56 AM:
T & C wrote on Aug 30, 2008 8:53 AM:
Brian wrote on Aug 30, 2008 8:05 AM:
Brian wrote on Aug 30, 2008 8:04 AM:
Except for the white elephant that sits on the NE corner of Ham and Kettleman.
That stupid outside escalator eventually got stopped. "
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 7:20 AM:
TandC wrote on Aug 30, 2008 7:16 AM:
Observer wrote on Aug 30, 2008 6:49 AM:
Comments on this story are now closed.